Jelena Ostapenko vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In assessing the likelihood of victory in the upcoming match between Alexandrova and Ostapenko, several key statistics offer insights. Second serve performance is a crucial aspect, and over the past six months, Alexandrova has an edge with a 40.86% success rate on second serve points compared to Ostapenko’s 36.98%. Return game efficiency also plays a vital role; in recent form, Ostapenko has won 54.06% of her opponent's second serve points, narrowly edging out Alexandrova’s 51.51% in this regard. Additionally, their first serve return stats remain closely contested, with Ostapenko at 31.64% and Alexandrova at 30.88%.

When examining performance under pressure, Alexandrova saves 52.14% of breakpoints faced, surpassing Ostapenko's 49% saving rate. This statistic provides vital insight for live match predictions. In terms of broader performance metrics, Alexandrova has maintained a higher match win ratio over the past year, winning 55.77% of her matches compared to Ostapenko’s 52.38%. Additionally, Alexandrova thrives on indoor hard courts, boasting a 69% career win rate, while Ostapenko excels equally on grass.

Looking at tournament levels, Alexandrova has spent 66.67% of her last year on the Main tour, an important factor to consider when determining event-level competitiveness. Ostapenko, conversely, has competed primarily in Masters series matches, achieving a 57.89% win rate. The head-to-head history between the players is balanced, with each winning five matches out of their ten encounters. Notably, the last clash saw Ostapenko triumph in the final of the Upper Austria Ladies Linz, a detail highlighting her ability to seize critical victories.

In matches pushed to a deciding set, Ostapenko has a stronger track record, winning 60% of such encounters over the past year, compared to Alexandrova’s 50%. Additionally, Ostapenko holds a slight advantage in high-pressure situations, winning three of their five head-to-head tiebreaks. On average, Ostapenko has faced slightly higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 51.19 against Alexandrova’s 55.17, a factor that may inform their relative challenge levels over the past 12 months.

A critical stat for in-match scenarios is the conversion of breakpoint opportunities. Recently, Ostapenko has been more effective with a 37.67% conversion rate, compared to Alexandrova's 31.18%. This statistic could be decisive in predicting in-game momentum shifts when either player faces breakpoints. Considering these combined statistics, Ostapenko holds a marginal advantage and might be favored to win their upcoming encounter based on recent performance metrics.